This assumes some level mathematical proficiency anyone comfortable with high school math should be able to work through this explanation. I have been asked so many times how I derived the probabilities of drawing each poker hand that I have created this section to explain the calculation. Your chances of winning the hand are 11 out of 28 – a bit better than 2.5:1 (against).On this page Poker Math Derivations for Five Card Stud.The pot is giving you “pot odds” of 92:30 – that is more than 3:1 (against).Your decision is: do you put in another 30,000 to try to win 92,000? After Villain’s final “all-in”, there is now 92,000 in the pot. Well, with blinds of 400/800 and antes of 100, there was 2,000 in the pot before you bet.So, of the 28 times Villain has these hands, the odds are that you will win a little under 11 times (i.e.You are a little better than 50/50 against the AK, so can expect to win a bit over 8 times.of the 12 times they have these hands you can expect to win just 2.4 times.). From the same guide, you would know that you are about a 1 in 5 chance against (each of) AA and KK (i.e.So, there are just 28 hands they are likely to have.You know from our strategy guide, About Odds in Poker, that there are 6 ways they can have AA and KK – so that’s 12 combinations – and 16 ways they can have AK.…and that they’d really only do this with AA, KK and AK.Well, let’s say you judge that Villain is no more than a 5% chance or so to be bluffing. Should you call? What are your chances? What are the odds? You re-raise to 15,000 and Villain goes all in for another 30,000. You raise to 2,000 and the big blind makes it 5,500. You are deep in a tournament (a live one, not an MPO Battle Royale), with QQ. If you’ve read our strategy guides: About Odds in Poker and Pot Odds & Implied Odds, then it’s now time to put all of this knowledge about probability in poker together. How to Request Data Removal from Match Poker OnlineĪn Example of calculating Probability in Poker:.Probability in Poker – PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER.

Calculating probability for poker hands